fourthdown.pro
Football markets, modeled with discipline.
A private prediction desk for NFL and FBS edges, fair prices, resolver gates, and publish-ready picks.
Market room
NFL / FBS opening board
Model output stays internal until market, line, injury, and resolver checks are complete.
Kansas City -3.5
Chiefs at Ravens
+4.8%
resolver ready
Detroit QB over 244.5
Lions prime
+3.1%
injury gate
Over 52.5
Oregon at Texas
+5.5%
game market
Professional output needs hard gates.
Fourthdown separates the odds feed, the football model, and the public publishing policy.
Market ingestion
ParlayAPI provides event IDs, kickoff times, books, prices, market rows, and closing-line history.
Football probability model
Team strength, QB status, unit matchups, pace, injuries, weather, and market movement produce p_model.
Publish policy
Line mismatch, stale odds, missing resolver coverage, or unconfirmed availability caps a pick before it reaches public surfaces.
NFL and FBS stay separate where it matters.
NFL
Game markets and verified player props
- Moneyline, spread, total, team total
- Pass, rush, receiving, receptions, TD props
- Starter and injury confirmation gates
FBS
Game markets first, props only after proof
- FBS spread, total, moneyline coverage
- Opt-out, transfer, bowl, and travel context
- Player props remain gated until settlement is proven
Choose the coverage lane.
NFL, College, Both, and API plans remain distinct so coverage and resolver support do not blur.
NFL
NFL game markets and verified player-prop families.
- NFL slate
- Game markets
- Verified NFL props
- CLV tracking
College
FBS game markets with player props gated until coverage is proven.
- FBS slate
- Game markets
- Opt-out context
- Resolver-gated props
Both
One desk for NFL and FBS coverage.
- NFL + FBS
- Unified watchlist
- Market movement
- Shared API keys
API
Structured access for desks, models, and internal tools.
- JSON picks
- Policy reasons
- Market metadata
- Commercial support